Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $646.77
- Potential profit
- $646.45
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$199.68
Polymarket Trader
Swiyawa
0x1fe3d221beb600f7c68832e0bd8d8f4bf249bac2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $774.75
- Realized PnL
- $329.16
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $541.04
- Potential payout
- $541.31
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $41.04
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $233.38
- Potential payout
- $379.48
- Potential profit
- $146.1
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$8.62
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.32
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 63.8% 379.48 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes 30.9% 646.77 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 92.4% 541.31 shares
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No 72.7% 549.89 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No 72.8% 422.87 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 81.1% 369.95 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 82% 607.32 shares