S02

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75°F or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.69
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $80.02
Potential profit: $79.94
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $54.99
Potential profit: $54.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.91
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 108°F or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 108-109°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.88
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.5
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.65
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 110°F or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 83°F or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.9
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on June 29?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on December 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 24?