Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $828.91
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.19K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$630.39
Polymarket Trader
0x1ff3...eb39
0x1ff3d3fdef2558f3eb4aabdd7011a0245df8eb39
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $3.43K
- Realized PnL
- $4.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $332.55
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$16.3
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $745.88
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$58.12
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $724.5
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $25.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.5
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $577.33
- Potential profit
- $577.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $152.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $247.8
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $19.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $280.95
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $277.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
No position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $12.1
- Potential payout
- $219.95
- Potential profit
- $207.85
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $176.5
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $175.47
- Potential payout
- $179.23
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.53
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $86.35
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.55
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.25
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $91.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $36.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $63.49
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $68.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $11.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $56.3
- Potential payout
- $60.5
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.31
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $25.26
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $26.92
- Potential payout
- $30.42
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.74
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.54
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.98
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.17
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $204.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $191.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $143.66
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $139.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.45
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.38
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.54
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.16
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.25
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.53
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $84.32
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.01
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.77
Yes position
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.73
Yes position
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.11
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 14% 100 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.7% 15 shares
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 76.5% 5 shares
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 76.5% 19 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 15% 100 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 10% 20 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41% 44.21 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.1% 200 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41% 200 shares
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 76.7% 192.36 shares
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No 75.1% 36 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 41% 60 shares