Polymarket Trader

MaryThePeltolaStan

0x1ff66c223c7d3aba1770462174ca81b10f61b39c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.57
Realized PnL: -$10.98
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.12
Potential profit: $160.12
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $57.33
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $15.54
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $15.23
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $15.58
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.29
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11.27
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $10.16
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $10.2
Potential payout: $10.4
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.19
Potential payout: $10.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.76
Potential profit: $9.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.31
Potential payout: $6.31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5.75
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $5.74
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.88
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

No 73% 1.37 shares
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Yes 28% 3.57 shares
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96% 2.08 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 92% 2.17 shares
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 10.31 shares
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.6% 5.12 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.1% 15.29 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 96% 1.04 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 95% 2.1 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

No 95% 5.25 shares