Polymarket Trader

0x1ffca5a3fF54c7C8B9d406C950209542116cC0fF-1763150862853

0x1ffca5a3ff54c7c8b9d406c950209542116cc0ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.37
Realized PnL: $119.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.7
Potential profit: $219.7
User PnL: -$165.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $41.25
Potential profit: $32.73
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $1.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.82
Potential profit: $27.82
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.37
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the Colts win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.78
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 9AM ET

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.95

No position

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1AM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12PM ET

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1AM ET

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 1AM ET

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 92.4% 23.13 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 83% 3.78 shares
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

No 90% 3.13 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Yes 95.1% 23.13 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 68% 36.07 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 73% 33.86 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 77% 32.25 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 77% 47 shares
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

No 90% 40.57 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 78% 66.73 shares
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

No 98.6% 52.78 shares
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

No 89% 52.79 shares