Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.7
- Multiplier
- 12.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Polymarket Trader
LianWilson
0x1ffdc9b1f9db7a6d5e93c6d64a6ade0894304998
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.75
- Realized PnL
- $362.37
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.25
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.7%
- Current value
- $74.7
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $25.3
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $21.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 25.5% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 13% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 15?No 99.9% 20.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?No 99.8% 18.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 9.3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?No 99.9% 13.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 3?No 99.9% 22.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 0.3% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 27.6% 50 shares