No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $9.3
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
0x2003...0cd8
0x2003fdbf614dadabb2b81c599214d5825b650cd8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.23
- Realized PnL
- $122.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $11.18
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $10.43
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $10.25
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.15
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $9.36
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Down position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 78% 6.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 10.95 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 22% 11 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No 22% 11 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?Yes 35% 5.86 shares
- Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?Yes 32% 7 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 26% 34.62 shares