Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $202.87
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$515.85
Polymarket Trader
JPow823747392
0x20275a9ab620f052e90a43dc4a7eee486cae6d60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $389.61
- Realized PnL
- $65.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $176.42
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.57
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$268.2
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $339.68
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$28.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.34
- Potential profit
- $65.34
- User PnL
- -$3.92
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.7
- Potential profit
- $55.7
- User PnL
- -$12.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45K
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02K
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be between 17-18m?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 32% 1,121 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 45% 1,238.44 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 41% 999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 4,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 66% 7.56 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Yes 76% 259.87 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No 67% 999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 57% 4,000 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 44.4% 543.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 63.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 41% 10 shares