Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $6.43K
- Potential profit
- $4.89K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $35.35
Polymarket Trader
littlebird
0x202b3056678783c0ad73cc20c837b360b994971a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.9K
- Realized PnL
- $8.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $22.64
- User PnL
- $140.07
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $1.62K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $119.99
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$50.51
Yes position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $838.89
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $157.55
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $717.51
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $834.01
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $2.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $154.87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $77.03
No position
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $486.96
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $87.56
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $74.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $123.95
Yes position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $793.88
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $842.98
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$47.76
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $937
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $440.94
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$46.43
No position
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- $42.06
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $995.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $104.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $406.74
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $652.48
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $34.93
No position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $788.64
- Potential payout
- $927.82
- Potential profit
- $139.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $26.09
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $412.45
- Potential payout
- $896.63
- Potential profit
- $484.18
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $156.56
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $877.32
- Potential payout
- $893.86
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $195.62
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $316.66
- Potential payout
- $892
- Potential profit
- $575.34
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$223.54
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $481.04
- Potential payout
- $874.61
- Potential profit
- $393.57
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$96.06
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $707.29
- Potential payout
- $832.11
- Potential profit
- $124.82
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $696.28
- Potential payout
- $824
- Potential profit
- $127.72
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $26.12
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $368.62
- Potential payout
- $737.24
- Potential profit
- $368.62
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.71
No position
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.1%
- Current value
- $537.83
- Potential payout
- $655.1
- Potential profit
- $117.26
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $106.76
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $585.3
- Potential payout
- $630.71
- Potential profit
- $45.41
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $20.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.39
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $328.03
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.34
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $198.18
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.01
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.84
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.67
Yes position
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.96
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.85
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.27
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.96
No position
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.26
Yes position
Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.16
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.15
No position
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.92
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
No position
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 100 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 300 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 300 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 100 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 100 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 100 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 35 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 120 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 60% 8.36 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 60% 72.24 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 100 shares
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No 61% 6 shares