Polymarket Trader

grazkag

@grazkag

0x202d285bb7e3da873eaa8418233d8780caaec3b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $753.15
Realized PnL: $13.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $193.57
Potential payout: $992.69
Potential profit: $799.12
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$24.9

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $78.88
Potential payout: $751.23
Potential profit: $672.35
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$48.83

Under position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $368.31
Potential payout: $619
Potential profit: $250.7
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$15.47

Yes position

Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $20.09
Potential payout: $103
Potential profit: $82.91
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$27.3

Under position

Colombia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $75.99
Potential payout: $93.81
Potential profit: $17.82
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10.07
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $3.28
Potential payout: $4.34
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $1.48
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cyprus win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.35

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.13

No position

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.99

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

No position

Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $534.78

No position

Will Brentford win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.5

Over position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.45

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

Will Denmark win on 2025-10-09?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357

Yes position

Will England win on 2025-10-14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345

Bayer 04 Leverkusen position

Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $328.68

No position

Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.75

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.05

No position

Will San Marino win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.38

No position

Will Malta win on 2025-11-17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.19

No position

Will Pafos FC win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.82

Yes position

Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83.26

No position

Will Andorra win on 2025-10-14?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 48.2% 1,850 shares
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

Australia 82% 1,949.99 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Croatia 66.8% 999 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 40% 43 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 40% 43 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 42.5% 1,000 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?

No 70% 999.98 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 32.8% 1,352.84 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

No 53% 710.57 shares
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Under 43% 488.71 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

No 72% 150 shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

No 56% 290.85 shares