Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$75
Polymarket Trader
pyoi
0x202dee1aebe5054f56c6c5b1d7b3e1f78b802dcd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57K
- Realized PnL
- $3.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $318.81
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $574.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $65
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $573.55
- Potential payout
- $825.37
- Potential profit
- $251.82
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $73.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.4
- Potential profit
- $463.4
- User PnL
- -$222.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $448.52
- Potential profit
- $448.52
- User PnL
- -$205
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.97
- Potential profit
- $226.97
- User PnL
- -$121.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.65
- Potential profit
- $199.65
- User PnL
- -$125
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190.13
- Potential profit
- $190.13
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $104.61
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $80.57
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $4.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.11
- Potential profit
- $176.11
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $163.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Current value
- $13.98
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $23.06
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$6.02
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $12.85
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $11.38
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $11.92
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $11.58
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $10.87
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.69
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.24
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.79
No position
Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.15
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.6
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.69
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.05
Yes position
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.58
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 45% 1,111.11 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 39.5% 1,265.13 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 54% 185.19 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No 84% 11.9 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.6% 1.08 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 51% 999.99 shares