Polymarket Trader

2212896

0x202e711c670d156f1d9172ec0bf67bb172deef06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.49
Realized PnL: $296.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$73.72

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.72
Potential profit: $418.72
User PnL: -$121.42

Yes position

Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $21.51
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $20.76
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $15.97
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $14.03
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $11.78
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $1.19
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.05

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.31

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Claude 4.7 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Solana reach $160 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Trent Williams be traded?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 93.9% 15.97 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

No 97.6% 15.37 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 84.9% 11.78 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?

No 96.3% 20.76 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?

No 92.7% 14.03 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Down 1.7% 210.55 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Down 2.8% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Down 1.8% 31.19 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Down 2.7% 200 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 81% 22 shares