Y
Yes position
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Analog revenue be above $4.75B?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $51.1
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$15.84
Polymarket Trader
keccakon0xluke
0x202fbbf36eb1bf806d88c8badb153c735cd5c63d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.77
- Realized PnL
- -$2.56
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 total backlog be above $230B?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $25.44
- Potential profit
- $21.62
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
N
No position
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Analog revenue be above $4B?
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $12.01
- Potential payout
- $20.53
- Potential profit
- $8.52
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
N
No position
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.8B?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Y
Yes position
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$21.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes 13% 36.19 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?No 88% 0.62 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.8B?No 84.9% 5 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes 17.2% 2.42 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 94% 1.36 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 95% 1.37 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 97.4% 1.02 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No 97.5% 1.03 shares