Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $468.75
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $781.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $393.75
Polymarket Trader
StephenASmith
0x2034cebc6dbce25870a695ac54ca0604d83d8dae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $785.72
- Realized PnL
- $32.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $950.5
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $999.92
- Potential profit
- $980.92
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $851.32
- Potential profit
- $850.89
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$45.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $662
- Potential profit
- $662
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $248.05
- Potential payout
- $409.99
- Potential profit
- $161.95
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$18.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03K
No position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $986.5
No position
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $985.76
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.84
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.02
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $830.44
No position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.9
Yes position
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $702.49
No position
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $679.74
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $667.14
No position
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.47
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.2
Yes position
Will "Conclave" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 71% 5 shares
- Will "Supergirl" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 63% 5.44 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 98.8% 2,000 shares
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 6.3% 65 shares
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 43% 231.47 shares
- Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes 53% 999.92 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 9% or more?Yes 38.7% 9.19 shares
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 91% 300 shares
- Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?Yes 18.7% 6.96 shares
- Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 84.2% 15.5 shares
- Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes 84.1% 15.5 shares
- Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No 70% 67 shares