0x2049...c390

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $887.87
Potential profit: $878.55
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$12.68

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $748.88
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.3
Potential profit: $749.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $638.13
Potential profit: $638.13
User PnL: -$4.82

Over position

France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.21
Potential profit: $519.21
User PnL: -$52.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.87
Potential profit: $254.87
User PnL: -$47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.72
Potential profit: $194.72
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $153.93
Potential profit: $148.38
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.97
Potential profit: $97.97
User PnL: -$46.93

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.08
Potential profit: $49.08
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $11.56
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $22.44
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30.64
Potential profit: $30.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.48

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.94
Potential profit: $26.94
User PnL: -$17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.79
Potential profit: $13.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 4AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.55

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.13

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Up position

HYPE Up or Down - July 16, 4PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Down position

HYPE Up or Down - July 17, 1AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10AM ET

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.86

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.4

Up position

HYPE Up or Down - July 17, 12AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4PM ET