Polymarket Trader

noahbailey4

0x2056565a1cfd79e726022c7ce1b36f36b6d9f2f8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $66.96
Realized PnL: $32.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $21.98
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$12.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 29?

No 98% 14 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

No 99.9% 22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?

No 98% 15 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

No 99.1% 10 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

No 95% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 27?

No 99% 11 shares
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

No 99.8% 23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on June 25?

No 98.6% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Yes 98% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 23?

No 98% 11 shares