Polymarket Trader

walnutpeanut

0x205bdf587a5f67f608cbd42724e2d568c1558edf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.16K
Realized PnL: $9.42K
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $981.92
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $9.35K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$376.82

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $4.09K
Potential payout: $4.4K
Potential profit: $308.11
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $141.88

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $4.14K
User PnL: -$447.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $163.33
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.06K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$16.46

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$287.4

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $477.32
Potential payout: $926.84
Potential profit: $449.52
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $91.22

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $37.83
Potential payout: $840.58
Potential profit: $802.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$168.38

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.9%
Current value: $326.62
Potential payout: $380.24
Potential profit: $53.61
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.49

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.25
Potential profit: $306.25
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $75.89
Potential payout: $252.98
Potential profit: $177.09
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$10.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $732.36

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $729.37

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.74

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.2

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.84

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $98.07

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.66

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $39.39

No position

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.29

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.76

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.22

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 25% 154.26 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 23% 229.26 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 25% 765.57 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 44% 34.51 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 45% 34.51 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43.1% 1,026.74 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43% 34.89 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 50% 16.62 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 216.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 3,461.88 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 205.63 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 1,045.02 shares