N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $74.79
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
aureliakfwe
0x206244f34fe57289bd66f1cdb05df0afd38a058b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $165.64
- Realized PnL
- $2.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $50.8
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $40.05
- Potential payout
- $41.78
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?No 98% 20 shares