Polymarket Trader

d3szpi

0x206faa24ce80a576d05efa4b532c4dffd1e37476

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.66
Realized PnL: $8.25
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.68
Potential profit: $145.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.41
Potential profit: $43.41
User PnL: -$9.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.19
Potential profit: $37.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $35.86
Potential profit: $29.33
Multiplier: 5.49x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 27.3%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $16.39
Multiplier: 3.67x
User PnL: $1.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 13.9% 35.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 22.2% 22.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Yes 18.1% 11.05 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Yes 11.7% 8.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 23.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 42.9% 23.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 26.9% 37.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 145.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 22.9% 43.41 shares