Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $84.78
- Potential profit
- $74.18
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.86
Polymarket Trader
0x2070...a694
0x2070944802e5a7e3220c9532ca65d19474eba694
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $202.75
- Realized PnL
- $608.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $57.59
- Potential payout
- $73.36
- Potential profit
- $15.77
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $20.93
- Potential payout
- $58.71
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $52.34
- Potential payout
- $54.61
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $23.08
- Potential payout
- $35.24
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $23.95
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $14.26
- Potential payout
- $14.53
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.18
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.25
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.15
Yes position
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.49
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.51
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.23
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.84
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.05
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.89
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.08
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.98
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 64% 73.36 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 19.43 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 41.66 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 5% 200.8 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Yes 14% 202.43 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 54% 113.37 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.7% 58.71 shares
- Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?Yes 0.1% 50 shares
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes 21% 95.86 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes 23% 152.87 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No 99.1% 99.19 shares
- Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 16% 50.56 shares