Polymarket Trader

oakme

0x208f804ebfa75716bd4077cd1cc0acaf992a69d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $430.24
Realized PnL: $3.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.42K
Potential profit: $7.42K
User PnL: -$158.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$54.7

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $957.27
Potential profit: $957.27
User PnL: -$375.02

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $305.63
Potential payout: $804.3
Potential profit: $498.67
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $28.09

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512
Potential profit: $512
User PnL: -$144.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.79
Potential profit: $436.79
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.78
Potential profit: $411.78
User PnL: -$89.52

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.99
Potential profit: $298.99
User PnL: -$130.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.24
Potential profit: $259.24
User PnL: -$47.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $246
User PnL: -$97.4

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233
Potential profit: $233
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $232.96
Potential profit: $230.05
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$5.47

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.57
Potential profit: $223.57
User PnL: -$13.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.99
Potential profit: $129.99
User PnL: -$75.53

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $59.94
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $48.06
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$5.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.12
Potential profit: $101.12
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $61.76
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$23.4

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.79
Potential profit: $10.79
User PnL: -$3.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $10.54
User PnL: -$4.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$4.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $311.32

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.83

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.38

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.23

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.37

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.73

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.48

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.67

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.1

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.55

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.12

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.36

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.72

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.63

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.07

Yes position

Will Trump shake hands with Volodymyr Zelenskyy at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.16

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.17

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.14

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 14, 12PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 46% 63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 29% 13 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 36 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?

Yes 24% 39 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 2.6% 686.99 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 72% 36 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 45% 33 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 63% 96 shares
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?

Yes 89% 199 shares
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Yes 86% 6 shares