Polymarket Trader

redcame1

0x209f44d8e117c9bc443a3cadae55e6ccc9cb0eb4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.16
Realized PnL: $693.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $705
Potential profit: $704.65
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $48.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Liudmila Samsonova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $47.94
Potential profit: $47.82
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $25.94
Potential profit: $22.01
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: $1.44

Indiana Fever position

Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.11
Potential profit: $19.11
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $18.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $18.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $18.95
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

St. Louis Cardinals position

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.31
Potential profit: $18.31
User PnL: -$9.7

Cleveland Guardians position

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.97
Potential profit: $17.97
User PnL: -$9.52

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $16.42
Potential profit: $16.07
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.16
Potential profit: $16.16
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $14.54
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.15

Under position

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $15.33
User PnL: -$8.28

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.16
Potential profit: $15.16
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.82
Potential profit: $14.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

New York Liberty position

New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$9.71

Detroit Tigers position

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.07
Potential profit: $13.07
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.43
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.02

Texas Rangers position

Spread: Texas Rangers (-5.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$6.13

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

England leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.18
Potential profit: $12.18
User PnL: -$5.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.71

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.81

Yes position

Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.77

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.1

paiN Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.96

Adam Walton position

Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.79

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Team WE position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.05

Casper Ruud position

BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.08

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36

Zachary Svajda position

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Martin Landaluce position

Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Milwaukee Brewers position

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

No 47% 6.43 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 36% 6.94 shares
England leading at halftime?

Yes 49% 12.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 63% 6.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Up 37% 7.32 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Over 40% 6.23 shares
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner

ECHO 54% 6.37 shares
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rafael Fiziev 99.9% 11.68 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

No 46% 10.87 shares
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rafael Fiziev 51% 11.68 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Under 99.9% 9.57 shares
O/U 2.5 Rounds

Under 49% 12.18 shares