Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $197.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $97.5
Polymarket Trader
ieee820
0x20a138ee2b93b82bb2ac06a1980095132519807b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- -$603.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $73.81
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$26.19
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $198.99
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$84.09
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $267.05
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $67.05
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $258.73
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$141.27
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $125.69
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$74.31
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $160.59
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.41
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $97.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $402.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.33
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.45
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.31
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$395.27
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$634.29
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$832.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 4,761.9 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 1,190.48 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 5,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 43.1% 952.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 2,153.88 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.8% 2,272.73 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.9% 1,834.86 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 1,176.47 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 45.4% 220 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 44% 227.27 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 21% 952.38 shares