Polymarket Trader

mctangelus

0x20d225596cb5227d9c7f413cf18688acc3083cc3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.22
Realized PnL: $69.86
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.84
Potential profit: $592.84
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $9.47
Potential payout: $526.25
Potential profit: $516.78
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $181.72
Potential profit: $174.63
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $2.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $17.84
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.29
Potential profit: $21.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 23% 21.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Down 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Down 10% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 75% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Up 46% 10.87 shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2.8% 181.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 43% 11.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Up 41% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 60.8% 29.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Up 55% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Up 17% 29.41 shares