Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $18.84
- Potential payout
- $18.89
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $13.74
Polymarket Trader
paulmelvin
0x20da0d0b46bf8123a433625dae08bc58c33d1b8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.84
- Realized PnL
- $129.81
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Yes position
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Heat position
Trail Blazers vs. Heat
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Oregon position
Oregon vs. Iowa
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?Yes 27% 18.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?Yes 29% 9.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?No 67% 27.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?No 48% 16.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?No 59% 29.83 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 29% 26.14 shares
- Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?Yes 72% 29.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?Yes 36% 8.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?Yes 42% 11.52 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?No 28% 6.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?No 73.7% 27.92 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 99.4% 363.31 shares