Polymarket Trader

potatosmiochich

0x20de7e32a7c9df6d594decb785f86bc6bcb25b24

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $200.51
Realized PnL: -$1.88K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $50.77
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $51.64
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $50.25
Potential payout: $51.99
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $47.86
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pirates position

Reds vs. Pirates

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Red Sox position

Orioles vs. Red Sox

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.9

Blue Jays position

Athletics vs. Blue Jays

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.1

Kraken position

Kraken vs. Utah

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$70.68

Cardinals position

Cardinals vs. Pirates

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$361.99

Cubs position

Pirates vs. Cubs

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$419.84

Giants position

Giants vs. Padres

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$499.87

Down position

Solana Up or Down on August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$500

Yankees position

Yankees vs. Reds

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$520.02

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$640

Nationals position

Nationals vs. Royals

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$780.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?

Yes 97.7% 42.49 shares
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?

No 95.3% 21.16 shares
Kraken vs. Utah

Kraken 38% 186 shares
Pirates vs. Cubs

Cubs 64% 656 shares
Nationals vs. Royals

Nationals 43% 10 shares
Solana Up or Down on August 8?

Down 50% 1,000 shares
Cardinals vs. Pirates

Cardinals 53% 683 shares
Yankees vs. Reds

Yankees 54% 963 shares
Athletics vs. Blue Jays

Blue Jays 60% 1,075 shares
Orioles vs. Red Sox

Red Sox 55% 982 shares
Celtics vs. Knicks

Knicks 32% 2,000 shares