Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $413.7
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $38.05
Polymarket Trader
0x20dF799e1dcd61c3001A613d3C4CEECc7a49eA8d-1767512910669
0x20df799e1dcd61c3001a613d3c4ceecc7a49ea8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $413.7
- Realized PnL
- -$34.07
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.54
- Potential profit
- $101.54
- User PnL
- -$33.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $10.58
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.86
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.69
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.5% 1,256 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91% 114.94 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 24% 79.17 shares
- Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?Yes 43% 39.17 shares
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No 85.7% 119.56 shares
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 1.1% 0.79 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 49% 130 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 58% 130 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 37.2% 487.17 shares
- Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No 39% 487.18 shares
- Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No 99% 0.79 shares
- Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Yes 8% 20.24 shares