0x20e4bceb8A8bdAE6650335b1287f3d1343dcfA78-1756434474405

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $111.14
Potential payout: $123.9
Potential profit: $12.76
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $99.46
Potential profit: $96.13
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Norway position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.93
Potential profit: $63.93
User PnL: -$25

Switzerland position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.27
Potential profit: $59.27
User PnL: -$14.91

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.56
Potential profit: $38.56
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.84
Potential profit: $29.84
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $20.98
Potential profit: $18.93
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.2%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $15.13
Potential profit: $4.51
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $10.75
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55
Potential profit: $5.55
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $3.51
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $38.09

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $24.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Under position

CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Over position

CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Under position

CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 20?