No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
PnW
0x20e6e192cc7d036e25136bb535e10aad89af95c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.65
- Realized PnL
- $15.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $13K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.74K
- Potential profit
- $9.74K
- User PnL
- -$786.26
Yes position
Megaquake by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.67K
- Potential profit
- $9.67K
- User PnL
- -$726.57
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $143.65
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$626.49
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$102.6
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$560
Yes position
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$953.04
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$89.83
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$150.31
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$99.45
Yes position
Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $887.79
- Potential profit
- $887.79
- User PnL
- -$70.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $818.64
- Potential profit
- $818.64
- User PnL
- -$122.74
T1 position
LoL: HLE vs T1
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$198
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $190
- User PnL
- -$39.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Megaquake before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67K
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.5
Yes position
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Megaquake by June 30?Yes 13% 1,260.43 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?Yes 27% 399 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes 21% 1,000 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?Yes 22.7% 732 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?Yes 21% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No 9.9% 1,000 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 0.5% 20,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?Yes 14.5% 45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?Yes 1.8% 10.18 shares
- Megaquake by March 31?Yes 15% 800 shares
- Megaquake by March 31?Yes 14% 218.68 shares