Yes position
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $622.84
- Potential profit
- $622.84
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
Tortfeasor
0x20ed048421fddad3df9fec3b2c7610a27ab40231
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.47
- Realized PnL
- $69.58
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $388.66
- Potential profit
- $388.66
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.93
- Potential profit
- $76.93
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Ends Feb 15, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $74.21
- Potential profit
- $71.05
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.79
- Potential profit
- $71.79
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $29
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $28
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.15
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 4.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Ends Jan 18, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $10.52
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.76
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $12.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.52
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Yes 23.9% 10.52 shares
- Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes 39.6% 10 shares
- Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?Yes 13.5% 74.21 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 34% 15.78 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes 37% 76.92 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 22.8% 344.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Yes 31.8% 57.28 shares
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes 26% 27.15 shares