Polymarket Trader

emeraldentity

0x20f55bfa768b437a4d4bbe58827cd25ae61f9495

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $206.58
Realized PnL: $3.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21.54
Potential payout: $205.13
Potential profit: $183.59
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$74.48

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $85.05
Potential payout: $93.87
Potential profit: $8.82
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $23.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $724.25

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.2

No position

Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.32

Yes position

Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.04

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.84

Yes position

Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.44

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.58

Yes position

Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.89

Yes position

Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.95

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.94

No position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.34

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.36

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10AM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.09

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.35

Red Wings position

Red Wings vs. Canucks

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 11AM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.23

Yes position

Will Vitória SC vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2PM ET

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.26

No position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.62

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.14

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.16

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.04

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

No 99.8% 323.42 shares
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

No 84.6% 100 shares
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Yes 76% 100 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Yes 0.1% 100 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?

No 98.9% 100 shares
Rockets vs. Pelicans

Pelicans 79.9% 119.44 shares
Rockets vs. Pelicans

Rockets 11.1% 790.51 shares
Rockets vs. Pelicans

Pelicans 92.9% 132.52 shares
Rockets vs. Pelicans

Rockets 80% 690.51 shares
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?

No 99% 100 shares
Will the next James Bond be British?

No 99% 12.9 shares