Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.69K
- Potential profit
- $205.69K
- User PnL
- -$27.98K
Polymarket Trader
BettorBeware
0x20f916251d422f5cb9a9dd041c4ce2097b96dad9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.16K
- Realized PnL
- $84.9K
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $12.97K
- Potential payout
- $152.63K
- Potential profit
- $139.66K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$44.22K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $94K
- Potential payout
- $94K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $81.78K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $15.67K
- Potential profit
- $15.65K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.52K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- User PnL
- -$702.03
No position
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.38K
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $34.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $843.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.1K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04K
Yes position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $792.09
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $651.22
No position
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.5
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.95
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Will Trump resign today?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Elon Musk speak at the RNC today?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$156
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$414.82
Chiefs position
Super Bowl LIX Winner
Ends Feb 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 12% 4,070 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 16% 14,584.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 22% 3,191.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 44% 1,352.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 33,333 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 13% 40,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 12% 30,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 45% 1,552.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 37% 98,849.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 37% 4,877.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 19% 1,081.7 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes 30.4% 5,000 shares