Polymarket Trader

dfrxd88

0x21048cebcd6abeff4894a96d20e71adc7861e9e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.59
Realized PnL: $299.6
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $17.92
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $2.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $2.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Eastern Michigan position

Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.71

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Solana dip to $80 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Base airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Southampton wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $89000 on Apr 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Chelsea wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will a candidate from another party win Ohio Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Real Betis win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Manchester City wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will José Luiz Datena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98% 2.51 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 97.8% 2.04 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27?

No 99.9% 2.77 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?

No 99.9% 3 shares
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?

No 99.9% 3 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?

No 99.9% 2 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?

No 99.9% 3 shares
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 98.1% 2.39 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

No 96.1% 18.52 shares
Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan 56% 674.34 shares
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 99.8% 44.01 shares