Yes position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.15
- Potential profit
- $105.15
- User PnL
- -$18.93
Polymarket Trader
Rusty888
0x21083cd164a0ff22060bdfc12637b9843c33d3dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.25
- Realized PnL
- -$14.68
- Win rate
- 4.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $51.6
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $8.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $21.15
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 49.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 64% 50.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 38% 83.33 shares
- Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 80% 50 shares
- Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 75% 50 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No 76% 50 shares
- Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No 80.1% 4.86 shares
- Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No 32% 54.85 shares
- Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?No 32% 11.47 shares
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Yes 21% 154.76 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No 20% 160.12 shares
- Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No 76% 50 shares
- Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 39% 60 shares