No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $111.18
- Potential payout
- $111.24
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $1.18
Polymarket Trader
hfdr
0x2114878602cdaf7ef265a671cc83b67b808bb013
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.97
- Realized PnL
- $8.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.01
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $11.78
- Potential payout
- $11.88
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Celtics
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- User PnL
- -$3.49
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Bulls
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100,000 on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Solana reach $200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 50.2 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.2% 16.99 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 99.4% 25.15 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 61.04 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?No 99.9% 30.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.7% 30.09 shares
- Will Solana dip to $10 in May?No 99.9% 11.01 shares
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs 66% 9.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?No 99.8% 82.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No 99.9% 20.02 shares