Polymarket Trader

erzhuron

0x2117912fee43e703fe9626fc934ad8653cf39bed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78K
Realized PnL: $4.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $356.9
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $46.55

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $676.08
Potential profit: $676.08
User PnL: -$520.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$30.99

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.85
Potential profit: $98.85
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.84
Potential profit: $98.84
User PnL: -$44.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.33
Potential profit: $46.33
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.97
Potential profit: $45.97
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.3%
Current value: $36.12
Potential payout: $42.34
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.24

LGD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.4

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.91

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.84

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.36

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.01

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.48

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.45

Yes position

Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.29

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.75

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.66

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.68

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.71

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.33

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.87

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

No 70.1% 7.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

No 70.1% 35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 29.9% 49.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?

Yes 31.3% 49.46 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 99.3% 303.16 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 80.5% 303.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 38% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 28.3% 45.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 7% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

Yes 42.6% 49.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 30% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?

Yes 37.1% 51.26 shares