Polymarket Trader

AaronCA

0x2128f011fb563a8ff6c484ba80eb049356c1f203

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.14K
Realized PnL: $18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Nov 29, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $248.83
Potential payout: $858.04
Potential profit: $609.21
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $103.34

Yes position

Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $416.9
Potential payout: $758
Potential profit: $341.1
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $133.06

No position

Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $533.26
Potential payout: $586
Potential profit: $52.74
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $80.67

Yes position

Will a trailer for The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power Season 3 premiere at SDCC 2026?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $391.13
Potential payout: $447
Potential profit: $55.88
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $157.75

Yes position

Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Nov 29, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $294.85
Potential payout: $406.69
Potential profit: $111.84
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $92.23

Yes position

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Ends Aug 23, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $257.81
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $113.19
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $55.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Ends Aug 23, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a trailer for The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power Season 3 premiere at SDCC 2026?

Yes 52.2% 627 shares
Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?

No 77.2% 586 shares
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?

Yes 37.4% 758 shares
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 49.8% 447.69 shares
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?

Yes 16.2% 827.74 shares
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

Yes 54.5% 1,112.32 shares

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