0x2135f395c9179bDb9357f75b14DC65A82bBA9E8f-1769082137703

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54K
Potential profit: $17.54K
User PnL: -$87.68

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $47.2
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $27.2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.35
Potential profit: $882.35
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $18.59
Potential payout: $652.17
Potential profit: $633.59
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $166.35
Potential payout: $628.93
Potential profit: $462.58
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $66.35

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.83
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $565.1
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.17

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Celtics

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $29.31
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $315.52
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$70.69

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Lakers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Bucks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.2
Potential profit: $228.2
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $33.74
Potential payout: $186.92
Potential profit: $153.18
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$50

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Pelicans

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.65
Potential profit: $182.65
User PnL: -$40

Rob Font position

UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Warriors position

Warriors vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.8

Nets position

Nets vs. Pistons

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.07

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.85

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.86

Magic position

Magic vs. Timberwolves

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.81

Over position

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.06

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Monte position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.27

SSC Napoli position

Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.37

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.77

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.77

Yes position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.73

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Blues position

Blues vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.25

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.08

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Under position

CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Blues position

Blues vs. Sharks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.71

Blackhawks position

Blackhawks vs. Utah

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Blues position

Blues vs. Wild

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 8?