No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $35.7K
- Potential payout
- $35.87K
- Potential profit
- $161.39
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Polymarket Trader
agagyu
0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.57K
- Realized PnL
- $25.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $16.45K
- Potential payout
- $17.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.12K
- Potential profit
- $10.12K
- User PnL
- -$7.55K
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $6.68K
- Potential payout
- $6.92K
- Potential profit
- $242.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $115.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $319.41
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $189.02
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $426.67
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $111.31
No position
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $116.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $74.93
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $625.74
- Potential payout
- $700.32
- Potential profit
- $74.58
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $31.04
No position
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $493.57
- Potential payout
- $521.46
- Potential profit
- $27.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $48.67
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $293.59
- Potential payout
- $306.62
- Potential profit
- $13.03
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $20.7
No position
Will Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $48.65
- Potential payout
- $64.01
- Potential profit
- $15.36
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.24
No position
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $41.37
- Potential payout
- $48.39
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.38
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $726.57
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.1
No position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.17
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.19
No position
India unbans TikTok by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.76
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.9
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.33
No position
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.26
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria before October?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.97
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.89
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $277.72
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 95% 343.24 shares
- Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No 94.1% 26.57 shares
- Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No 91.1% 260 shares
- Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No 96.9% 62.82 shares
- Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 86.8% 48.39 shares
- Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 89.8% 47.61 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 89% 135.96 shares
- Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?No 88% 137.67 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 89% 170.66 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 92% 162 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 15.4 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 15.4 shares