Polymarket Trader

erik50

0x213cb92336a31ec1a584c37e10e71995969192ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.34K
Realized PnL: $5.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $82.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $182.63

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $185.19

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $933.19
Potential payout: $987.5
Potential profit: $54.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $143.19

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $362.53
Potential payout: $641.75
Potential profit: $279.23
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$137.47

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $567.68
Potential payout: $627.27
Potential profit: $59.59
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $127.68

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $191.25
Potential payout: $191.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $65.11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $166.67
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $66.67

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $104.38
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $20.63
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $72.15
Potential payout: $81.53
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.27
Potential profit: $66.27
User PnL: -$43.74

No position

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $47.47
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $10.53
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.82
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $45.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.54

No position

Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.75

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.69

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.94

No position

Will Biden resign before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.54

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.65

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.87

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.16

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.67

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.81

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.07

No position

Will there be another debate?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.39

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.05

Yes position

Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.76

No position

ABC Whistleblower report released by Sunday?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.64

No position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.36

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.33

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.22

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.25

Bills position

Bills vs. Jaguars

Ends Sep 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.09

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.7

Chiefs position

Falcons vs. Chiefs

Ends Sep 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.52

No position

Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Spurs 78% 38.46 shares
76ers vs. Knicks

76ers 29% 137.93 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Spurs 84% 235.81 shares
Thunder vs. Suns

Thunder 90% 220.89 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

No 98% 510.2 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 60% 166.67 shares
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

No 83.2% 118.64 shares
Celtics vs. Heat

Celtics 91% 109.3 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 90% 1,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 92% 434.78 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

No 99.7% 528.3 shares
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators

Florida Gators 80% 12.43 shares