Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $167.67
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Polymarket Trader
Lustyleopard
0x213fccbe21e71968a1462557ec33fa174744a313
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.8
- Realized PnL
- $377.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $36.54
- Potential profit
- $31.63
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 89°F or below on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $20.66
- Potential payout
- $31.54
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $18.21
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.55
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $17.17
- Potential profit
- $7.22
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $17.04
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $15.56
- Potential profit
- $12.21
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $15.09
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.4%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $3.07
Yes position
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $11.86
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $10.34
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $8.53
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Dricus Du Plessis position
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $6.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $6.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $6.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.57
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.72
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.32
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Yes position
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Under position
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.37
Y
Yes position
Mexico leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 16?No 99.9% 2.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on July 15?No 99.9% 2.25 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes 27% 7.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?No 99.9% 3.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 16?No 99.9% 3.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 16?No 99.9% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?No 99.9% 1.09 shares