No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.25
Polymarket Trader
Staley
@KRgCsMS3ThG5s3S
0x214937a71f134771c8727486eb7d83a82548cc65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.81K
- Realized PnL
- $93.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $126.68
- Potential payout
- $147.3
- Potential profit
- $20.62
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.62
- Potential profit
- $21.62
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.7
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.37
- Potential profit
- $15.37
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Yes position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Dream Esports position
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 147.3 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 89% 131.35 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.8% 1,687.25 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?No 99.7% 1,609.83 shares
- LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular SeasonDream Esports 75% 6.27 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 98.7% 29.48 shares
- Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes 99% 17.6 shares
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,639.83 shares
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 1,639.84 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,617.46 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No 99.6% 1,617.47 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No 0.4% 250 shares