Polymarket Trader

0x214Bd3D5F423bc8D60cf4Cf76e323e199367cd8b-1762690204442

0x214bd3d5f423bc8d60cf4cf76e323e199367cd8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $74.44
Realized PnL: -$71.65
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.54
Potential profit: $930.54
User PnL: -$21.79

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.67
Potential profit: $256.67
User PnL: -$26.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $19.84
Potential payout: $108.11
Potential profit: $88.27
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$0.16

No position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.24
Potential profit: $86.24
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $20.32
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $44.19
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.96
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 50 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 74.4% 80 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 66% 80 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 108.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 84% 15.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Up 64% 15.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Down 45% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Down 45% 22.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Down 44% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 59% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Up 52% 38.46 shares