Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $390.6
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Polymarket Trader
apelsinkabl
0x215bc8b5bd7fd93382c8680d50f1987e8b61cfa1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.84
- Realized PnL
- -$0.67
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $262.64
- Potential profit
- $259.23
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$6.59
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $250.89
- Potential profit
- $245.25
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $9.59
- Potential payout
- $163.93
- Potential profit
- $154.34
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $43.92
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $53.76
- Potential profit
- $43.79
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $16.68
- Potential payout
- $50.93
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Blackhawks position
Flames vs. Blackhawks
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Predators
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Over position
Oilers vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.4% 50.93 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.6% 53.76 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 400 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.1% 163.93 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes 3.8% 262.64 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 4% 250.89 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No 66% 8.06 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 83% 6.66 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 52% 10.41 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 98.1% 6.25 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?No 89.1% 5.61 shares