Polymarket Trader

amalgame

0x215f475167835935134c1723b5e0388468a57e02

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $195.12
Realized PnL: $1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.56
Potential profit: $238.56
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $59.78
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $157.61
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.79
Potential payout: $204.97
Potential profit: $196.18
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$41.21

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $202.96
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.7%
Current value: $76.47
Potential payout: $197.85
Potential profit: $121.38
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $46.47

Yes position

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.66
Potential profit: $179.66
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $174.64
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $19.54
Potential payout: $166.3
Potential profit: $146.76
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$10.46

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.31
Potential profit: $124.31
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $119.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $102.78
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $102.62
Potential profit: $85.64
Multiplier: 6.04x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.87

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.23

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.51

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.05

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.55

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.76

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Habs position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.69

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

No position

FDA approves AstraZeneca's Camizestrant?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13

Yes position

Will France win?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 26% 7.69 shares
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 63% 7.94 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

England 68.2% 5.86 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 32% 6.25 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 32% 6.25 shares
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 44% 4.55 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?

Yes 5% 40 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?

Yes 1.7% 58.82 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 54% 5.56 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 187.5 shares