Polymarket Trader

HotChili

0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $401.62
Realized PnL: $291.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $149.62K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $2.36K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.38

Yes position

Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$13.29

Yes position

Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$282.5

Yes position

Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $801.43
Potential profit: $799.43
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $618.43
Potential profit: $616.27
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.3
Potential profit: $500.3
User PnL: -$446.11

Yes position

Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $297.16
Potential profit: $296.12
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $66.49
Potential profit: $66.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.75K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.55K

Braves position

Marlins vs. Braves

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8K

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.34K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.28K

Blue Jays position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.38K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04K

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.3K

Yes position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.18K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.11K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.18K

Herbert position

Fantasy Football: Mahomes vs. Herbert - Week 1

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92K

Mahomes position

Fantasy Football: Mahomes vs. Herbert - Week 1

Ends Sep 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.85K

Boston Red Sox position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.72K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15K

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.72K

Twins position

Twins vs. Rays

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.6K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5

Under 7% 4,379.09 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5

Over 8% 0.71 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5

Under 9% 1,050.56 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Under 25% 779.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Up 28% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 26% 43.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 18% 27.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 31% 16.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 28% 17.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Down 13% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Down 10% 50 shares