Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
democracy
@LFZ10
0x216c4c3b095c7b02d19f631e25d4fb5c26655a7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.12
- Realized PnL
- $307.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.13
- Potential profit
- $346.13
- User PnL
- -$6.02
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.36
- Potential profit
- $181.36
- User PnL
- -$19.95
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.5
- Potential profit
- $108.5
- User PnL
- -$71.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.77
- Potential profit
- $82.77
- User PnL
- -$33.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.91
- Potential profit
- $78.91
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.04
- Potential profit
- $57.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.81
- Potential profit
- $53.81
- User PnL
- -$41.97
DN SOOPers position
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.72
- Potential profit
- $45.72
- User PnL
- -$29.26
Pegula position
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.77
- Potential profit
- $42.77
- User PnL
- -$17.06
Golden Knights position
Lightning vs. Golden Knights
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $37.74
- User PnL
- -$20
Perricard position
Open de Moselle: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Vitaliy Sachko
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.26
- Potential profit
- $36.26
- User PnL
- -$29.01
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis (BO3)
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.89
- Potential profit
- $33.89
- User PnL
- -$9.15
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.5
- Potential profit
- $31.5
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $26.88
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Kent State Golden Flashes position
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Passaro position
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockx
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.93
- Potential profit
- $28.93
- User PnL
- -$24.9
Top Esports position
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.99
- Potential profit
- $27.99
- User PnL
- -$23.6
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.38
- Potential profit
- $26.38
- User PnL
- -$21.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.19
- Potential profit
- $26.19
- User PnL
- -$8.81
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Wizards
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.26
- Potential profit
- $25.26
- User PnL
- -$20.71
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Lakers
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
KT Rolster position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.99
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.05
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3)
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.97
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Mavericks
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Nets position
Nets vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.58
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Kecmanovic position
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Kamil Majchrzak
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
KT Rolster position
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Cardinals position
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
Flames position
Flames vs. Flyers
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Lightning position
Capitals vs. Lightning
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.13
Hurricanes position
Sabres vs. Hurricanes
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
Norrie position
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Cameron Norrie
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes 87% 5.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 29% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 91% 5.49 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain 67% 14.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?Yes 29% 17.23 shares
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under 91% 5.49 shares
- Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports 86% 23.26 shares
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsTop Esports 87% 22.99 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Over 83% 12.05 shares
- Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes 40% 5 shares