No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.58
- Potential profit
- $93.58
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
wi1y
0x217192e632646f7519655979acafb1b353a2ade9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.95
- Realized PnL
- $78.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $23.48
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $45.18
- Potential payout
- $58.3
- Potential profit
- $13.12
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $50.65
- Potential payout
- $55.96
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $45.76
- Potential payout
- $51.82
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$13.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.42
- Potential profit
- $25.42
- User PnL
- -$10.93
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.32
- Potential profit
- $23.32
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.86
- Potential profit
- $19.86
- User PnL
- -$9.93
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $16.87
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.51
- Potential profit
- $16.51
- User PnL
- -$8.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- User PnL
- -$6.08
No position
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 4AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.77
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.53
- Potential profit
- $9.53
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.84
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- User PnL
- -$4.23
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
France position
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 June 22-28?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 79% 8.75 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 79% 9.44 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 75% 6.67 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 75% 6.68 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 77% 6.49 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 79% 7.61 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.9% 7.38 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.1% 20.81 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil 70% 7.14 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 83% 3.98 shares