rondon89

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $26.96
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.57K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$52.48

Yes position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $193.06
Potential payout: $932.67
Potential profit: $739.61
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: $107.26

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $449.6
Potential payout: $731.06
Potential profit: $281.46
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $650.74
Potential payout: $727.08
Potential profit: $76.34
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $145.37
Potential payout: $593.35
Potential profit: $447.98
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$2.97

No position

Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $490.43
Potential payout: $492.16
Potential profit: $1.72
User PnL: $57.33

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $8.39
Potential payout: $465.95
Potential profit: $457.56
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$2.85

No position

Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $456.08
Potential profit: $450.15
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$295.91

No position

Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $209.54
Potential payout: $340.72
Potential profit: $131.18
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$65.3

Yes position

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.48
Potential profit: $334.48
User PnL: -$24.62

No position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $111.42
Potential payout: $305.27
Potential profit: $193.85
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$53.42

Yes position

Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $96.15
Potential payout: $287.01
Potential profit: $190.86
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$119.74

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $47.87
Potential payout: $245.47
Potential profit: $197.61
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $6.58
Potential payout: $215.9
Potential profit: $209.32
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$21.82

Yes position

Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $214.24
Potential profit: $213.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.16

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.9%
Current value: $42.44
Potential payout: $203.54
Potential profit: $161.1
Multiplier: 4.80x
User PnL: -$9.26

Yes position

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $180.2
Potential payout: $190.69
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $148.37
Potential payout: $160.4
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.91
Potential profit: $157.91
User PnL: -$115.88

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $111.81
Potential payout: $118.95
Potential profit: $7.14
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $118.49
Potential profit: $118.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.47

No position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $19.09
Potential payout: $115.72
Potential profit: $96.63
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $6.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $225.33

Yes position

Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.69

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.49

No position

Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.28

No position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.58

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.47

No position

Will Luca Pozzobon win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.1

Yes position

Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.26

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.58

No position

Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.84

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.3

Yes position

Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.21

Yes position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.36

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.06

No position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.87

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.61

No position

Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.19

Yes position

Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.87

No position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?