Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.86K
- Potential payout
- $6.7K
- Potential profit
- $837.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$167.4
Polymarket Trader
billmans
0x217dd9f8e5f420d559d43657304ce65c5096248e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.03K
- Realized PnL
- $215.75
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.95
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$46.95
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $96.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $46.95
No position
Over $55M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $64.29
- Potential payout
- $65.81
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.39
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 24?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.98
Yes position
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
No position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.17
No position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 23?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.43x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Solana dip to $30 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes 90% 6,696.14 shares
- Over $100M committed to the Credible public sale?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?No 96.5% 228.62 shares
- Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?No 97.7% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No 99.4% 5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?No 99.2% 5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 48% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 97% 4.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 23% 4.28 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?No 94% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 93% 5 shares